Financial Stages of a Farmers Life Effects on Credit Analysis Measures
Source: American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, by Paul N. Ellinger, Freddie L. Barnard, and Christine Wilson
Internal managers, agricultural lenders, external farm managers, and financial analysts often use financial ratios to assess
the financial condition and performance of farmers. There continues to be a desire among these users to gain better
understanding and insight regarding the current financial position of individual producers. Moreover, these measures may
also provide an indication of future financial condition and performance. Six financial measures often used to assess financial
condition and performance are measured and reported across five age groups of farmers. These findings allow users to
focus on the relationships between producer life stages and measures of financial performance.
2007 JOURNAL OF THE A|S|F|M|R|A17
Abstract
Farm financial performance measures are evaluated for producers across five age groups. The debt-to-asset ratio is
highest for farmers in the lessthan- 30 age group, 45.5 percent, and decreases across age groups. Repayment
capacity is strongest for farmers in the less-than-30 age group, 2.1:1, and weakest for farmers in the 50-59 age group, 1.3:1.
Operating profit margins tend to increase as farmers become more experienced. A key element in the financial evaluation of
farmers through the life cycle is differing degrees of land ownership. Paul N. Ellinger is an associate professor in the
Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois. He is on the board of directors for the
Farm Financial Standards Council. He holds a PhD in finance from the University of Illinois Freddie L. Barnard is a professor
and Extension economist in the Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. He is a member of the Technical
Committee for the Farm Financial Standards Council. He holds a PhD in agricultural economics with a specialty in
agricultural finance from the University of Illinois. Christine Wilson is an associate professor in the Department of Agricultural
Economics, Purdue University. She holds a PhD in agricultural economics with specializations in agribusiness
management, agricultural finance, and marketing from Kansas State University.
Background
Due to the household-business integration of most farms, the life cycle of family firms is closely linked to the life cycle of
the manager. A typical life cycle for a household-farm operation transitions through four general stages – establishment of
the business entity, growth, consolidation, and transfer (Barry, et al., 1999). The manager’s objectives are likely to change
over these stages of the life cycle. Hence, performance measures are also subject to change.
It is generally assumed that younger farmers have a higher level of risk than older farm operators, as evidenced by relatively
unfavorable solvency measures. As such, agricultural loan officers often concentrate on reducing the level of credit risk for
that group of farm borrowers through loan guarantees (family members and Farm Service Agency), crop insurance, off-farm
income, etc. As managerial ability improves and utilization of management capacity is maximized, firms tend to seek growth
opportunities. Leverage is often used by producers through the growth and consolidation stages of the life cycle.
For many Midwestern grain farms, farmland is the primary asset acquired during the growth and consolidation period.
Farmland provides a current cash return as well as a capital return from increases in market value. As farm operators
continue to invest in farmland though their life cycle, they experience a trade-off between current cash returns on invested
assets and unrealized capital gains on assets. Specifically, as farmers own a higher percentage of the land they operate, a
higher proportion of their total return will be unrealized capital gain. Profitability-based financial performance measures
typically only capture the cash returns. Thus, some profitability measures will likely decline as a farm transitions through the
stages of its life cycle since a higher proportion of the return is unrealized capital gains.
As farms enter the transfer stage, expansion and income generating capacity become less important than assuring a
stable source of retirement income. Farm borrowers who fall into older age groups generally have stronger solvency
measures and, therefore, are assumed to have a lower level of credit risk. Farmland also comprises a large proportion of their
asset base. Risk assessment and performance measures commonly used by agricultural lenders and endorsed by the Farm
Financial Standards Council (FFSC) are calculated using data reported on the balance sheet, statement of cash flows, and
accrual-adjusted income statement. Information used to calculate profitability and repayment capacity measures is
sometimes taken from schedule F of the income tax return. However, using schedule F for analysis purposes can be
misleading because it is commonly prepared on a cash basis. A more accurate measure of profitability for a farming
operation can be obtained from an accrual-adjusted income statement (FFSC). Research findings support this
recommendation. A study conducted in 1992 at the University of Illinois of 369 farm records for the 1986-1995
period found that the average annual percentage difference when net farm income is calculated using cash accounting as
opposed to accrual-adjusted income statements was 69.7 percent for all farms in the sample. That difference increases to
141.3 percent for farms with a debt-to-asset ratio over 40 percent (Lins and Ellinger, 1992). A more recent study conducted
at the University of Illinois in 2004 found that three-year average tax return measures deviate 24 percent from three-year
average accrual-based measures for measures of profitability (Ellinger, 2004).
The objective of this study is to report the magnitude of variance among the financial measures commonly used to
assess risk and performance across the life cycle of a farm business. Wealth and liquidity are expected to increase as farm
managers become older. Repayment capacity will likely follow a U shape. Lenders presumably restrict the amount of term
debt to purchase fixed assets until a track record of strong management can be established. As leverage increases during
the growth stages, repayment capacity will likely decrease due to the added debt burden. As farms enter the transfer stage
of the life cycle, decreasing debt will result in stronger debt repayment measures. The specific objective of this paper is to
measure the extent to which these relationships occur across a group of Midwestern farms.
Procedure
Six financial measures were used to evaluate the farm operators who were grouped by age. FFSC categorizes financial
performance measures across five categories: liquidity, solvency, repayment capacity, profitability, and financial
efficiency. The six measures used in this study addressed one component from each category and two from profitability.
Specifically, they evaluate the current ratio (liquidity), debt-toasset ratio (solvency), term debt and capital lease coverage
ratio (repayment capacity), rate of return on farm equity (profitability), operating profit margin ratio (profitability), and
interest expense ratio (financial efficiency). Two of the measures (current ratio and debt-to-asset ratio) were calculated
using data reported on the balance sheet. Three measures (profit margin, interest expense ratio, and term debt and capital
lease coverage ratio) were calculated using data reported on an accrual-adjusted income statement and a statement of cash
flows. The rate of return on farm equity is based on measures reported on the income statement and balance sheet. The six
measures are evaluated for farm operators who are less than 30 years, 30-39 years, 40-49 years, 50-59 years, and over 60
years of age.
Data
Data used in the analysis date from the years 1995 to 2004 and are taken from the Illinois Farm Business and Farm
Management (FBFM) record-keeping program. The FBFM field staff work with individual producers to document production
and financial data for farming operations. While over 6,500 farm operators participate in the record-keeping program,
approximately 2,000 records satisfy reconciliation and completeness criteria with enough detail to compute the
financial performance measures suggested by the FFSC. Those records are then verified for accuracy before being certified
as usable for inclusion in an annual publication entitled Financial Characteristics of Illinois Farms. The data used in this
analysis are 10-year averages.
Financial Measures
Current Ratio
The FFSC recommends two measures of liquidity: the current ratio and working capital. It is inappropriate to compare the
absolute value of working capital (current assets minus current liabilities) across age groups due to differences in farm size.
Consequently, the focus of this analysis is on the current ratio defined as current assets divided by current liabilities. Assets
are appraised using the market value approach while the current liabilities do not include contingent or deferred tax liabilities.
The median values for the current ratio across the age groups are reported in Table 1.1 The ten-year median current ratio for
all farmers is 1.63.2 The median current ratio for operators 60 years or over, 2.43, is clearly the strongest of all age groups.
Typically, these operators have scaled back on major capital purchases and have become more concerned with the
preservation of equity. In addition, farmers in this age group prefer to hold assets in a more liquid form for retirement, estate
planning, and health care purposes. The second highest median current ratio, 1.74, belongs to farm
operators in the youngest age group, less-than-30 years of age. One possible explanation posits that operators in this age
group are probably accumulating liquid assets for investment opportunities in the anticipation of purchasing land, machinery,
and other capital assets. Likewise, they have not yet accumulated large amounts of term debt, which result in large
principal payments classified as current liabilities. The current ratio is lowest, 1.48 to 1.50, for farmers in the other
three age groups. This position likely owes much to the fact that farm operators in these age groups have expanded their
farming operations by purchasing land, machinery, and other major capital assets. In addition, farmers in these age groups
are usually in the process of expanding their operations and require additional working capital.
Debt-to-Asset Ratio
The FFSC recommends three interrelated measures of solvency: debt-to-asset ratio, equity-to-asset ratio, and debt-to-equity
ratio. The measure used in this article is the debt-to-asset ratio, defined as total liabilities divided by total assets. Again,
assets reported are valued using the market value approach, and contingent tax liabilities are not included in total liabilities.
The ten-year average median debt-to-asset ratio for all farm operators is 30 percent. The debt-to-asset ratio decreases
across age groups, from youngest to oldest. The ratio is highest, 45.5 percent, for farmers in the less-than-30 year age
group. The measure then decreases across the middle three age groups, from 40.4 percent for the 30-39 year age group to
30 percent for the 50-59 year age group. As expected, the ratio is lowest, 16 percent, for the 60 and over age group. This
trend demonstrates the ability of farm operators in the over 60 age group to pay down debt, accumulate retained earnings,
and accumulate valuation equity as a result of market valuation increases for
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